Sales Commentary The Toronto Real Estate Board no longer publishes mid-month sales numbers hence we are forced to guess the market going forward, based only on January results. In January, overall sales were ahead by 12% over January of 2016, but active listings were 49% lower than the 2016 number. We are starting to see all listings sell at over the list price. Some by as much as $200,000 which is scary! In terms of the downtown condo market, January sales were up 23% over the same month last year but ‘active listings’ were down by 57% from last year. The result is the same as the overall market, multiple offers and most sale prices above the list price. This is the first time, we have been concerned over the state of the market. This imbalance has caused prices to spike by over 20% in the last twelve months. But ...
Market Report February-March 2017
February 21, 2017
Buying & Selling Assignments
February 10, 2017
The Assignment market for condos is making a big come back. There are two reasons for this: First, there is a lack of resale condos to buy, forcing many people to look at the assignment market. Secondly, with tougher mortgage qualifications, many investors who bought pre-construction condos 3 to 4 years ago may not be able to close and will want to sell. While the opportunities are great and you can probably avoid the multiple offer scenario, the market is hard to track. Assignments are not usually found on MLS but are exclusive and the contracts can be difficult. Assignments are not really selling a property, it may look like that, but really it's just selling the paper. The paper is, the right to buy an option to close on a sale with a developer made 3 or 4 years earlier. Trying to buy or sell an assignment on your ...
Can You Believe How Few Sales Most Agents Do?
January 30, 2017
When the public tries to negotiate the commission down or tries to get a buyer rebate, their assumption is that all agents are the same. If all Agents were the same, then picking the agent who agreed to your request would net you the most money, but they are not! Did you know in 2016, there were 48,000 agents in the Toronto Real Estate Board? Did you know almost 13,000 agents did not do even a single sales end? And, there are two sales ends to ever sale, a list end and a buyer end. Did you know 25,000 agents, or over half the members of the Toronto Real Estate Board, did two sale ends or less in 2016? These are the agents that will offer you the type of deals you're looking for. Who do you want to represent your interests when buying or selling a property in Toronto ...
The Perfect Market for that Less than Perfect Condo
January 23, 2017
Never have I seen a market with such little market inventory - properties for sale. Many owners, myself included, have said 'If you don't need to sell, sit on it", the market is still rising. But, this is also the best time to unload what I call, 'less desirable properties' and put them up for sale. In a normal market, these properties are difficult to sell and they sell at a discount. However, in today's market, they will sell at full value and quickly. So what do I mean by less desirable properties? Sell that condo on the second floor overlooking the garbage bins. Sell that condo on the fifth floor that sits beside the Gardiner with windows that are never allowed to open, and sell that condo gets no sunlight. You know what I'm talking about. Never has there been a better time for sellers to unload a property ...
2017 Toronto Real Estate Market Forecast
January 10, 2017
Share of Total Condo Apartment Sales By Bedroom Type (All Areas) Source: Toronto Real Estate Board Q3 Many forecasters or pundits get bogged down in irrelevant statistics. Past experience has shown that the view from ‘the street’ has been more accurate than the ‘view from the executive floor’. In real estate, lower sales do not automatically translate into lower prices. And the average price to average income ratio for valuing property prices over a number of years is also of little value when you consider the impact of immigrants, non-residents, and self- employed buyers in today’s market. If you want further proof, just read our 2016 Forecast versus what actually happened in 2016 on our website. GTA Year Over Year Summary 2016 2015 % Change Sales 113,133 101,213 11.8% Average Price $729,922 $622,121 17.3% Average DOM 17 22 -22.7% New Lisitngs 154,266 160,520 -3.8% FACTORS AT PLAY ...
3 Predictions for Toronto Real Estate in 2017
December 19, 2016
With 2016 drawing to a close, everyone wants to talk about the Toronto market for 2017. So here are my preliminary thoughts; Lower Sales than in 2016 We predict lower sales than we've seen in 2016. Why? There is no product available and listings are way down. Secondly, the new mortgage rules will make it harder to qualify for everyone. For first-time Buyers, many will not even qualify at all, which will put a drag on the move-up market as well. Prices will not be falling No, prices will not be falling, but don't expect price increases of 20% for houses and 12% for condos that we saw this year. Rather, 10% and 5% will be more the norm. Increase in Housing Demand Finally, thanks to Justin Trudeau who wants to encourage 400,000 immigrants per year rather than the 250,000 we're having, many of which end up in Toronto ...
The Trump Effect (On Toronto Real Estate)
December 13, 2016
With the election of Donald Trump in the U.S. people are asking me about the Trump effect on Toronto Real Estate. First, don't expect any Americans to move here, that was just celebrity talk. Do expect more people to move here from other parts of the world. That's all thanks to the Donald, who has made the U.S. less hospitable to immigrants. The other impact from this election is a jump in interest rates. Bond rates, which impact Mortgage rates are 1% higher today than the market low in the summer. However, they are still below rates in 2014. The primary reason for the rise is investors are worried about inflation and massive Government deficits from Trump's plan for massive infrastructure spending. My take? Not all the spending will take place, and there is still too much cheap money in the world. Rates will level off around these levels. In the ...
The Problem with Dual Agency
November 30, 2016
Dual Agency seems to be today's hot topic. Most people think it occurs when a Sales Person represents both Buyer and Seller. In realty it occurs when one or more different Sales People from the same Brokerage represent the Buyer and the Seller. When there are different Sales People from the same Brokerage involved, we should really rename this, Designated Agency. This is where RECO, The Real Estate Council of Ontario, should step in and introduce new rules to cover each case. The other problem is that a Sales Person acting in Dual Agency knows all of the offers submitted. Under the Real Estate and Business Broker's Act, you could only disclose the number of the offers and who are the Sales People presenting these offers. Why not change the rules? With competing offers, lets disclose all the terms of the offer; the price, conditions, closing date, etc. to all ...
Market Report November-December 2016
November 21, 2016
Sales Commentary On one level, sale results for October suggest that this market will continue indefinitely. Overall, sales on the Toronto Real Estate Board were ahead by 11.5% compared to October of last year. But there are signs that these sale increases cannot continue. ‘Active’ listings are down by 34% from last year at this time, and ‘days on market’ has shrunk to just 16 – meaning that we are running out of saleable properties. In 2015, sales from September to October increased by 7.5% (which is normal). In 2016, sales from September to October declined by 1%. This slowing is a direct result from less listings on the market. Demand (buyers) has not slowed down and the Home Price Index for detached housing in Toronto is up by 19% in the last year. This shortage has now transferred into the condo market (even with all those cranes).The result is ...
Who Regulates Realtors®?
November 16, 2016
Recently, the media has pointed the finger at unscrupulous Realtors® in terms of self-dealing and unethical behavior. They want change and they point the finger at self-regulation. RECO, The Real Estate Council of Ontario was established to enforce the real estate and business brokers act and to deal with consumer complaints. It was set up by the Ontario government supposedly to provide self-regulation. In reality the government just out-sourced the cost of regulation onto the shoulders of salespeople and brokerages. Today, 6 out of 9 directors are appointed by the Government. Realtors® elect only 3. All RECO employees are government employees. Realtors® have no say on hires and Realtors have to say on introducing new regulations. So, if the public wants change, don't blame realtors, blame the Ontario Government for inaction.