CONDO PRICES

The resale market has settled at just under $400 per sq.ft. The new buildings are running from $400 up to $450+. Where will it end?
A new developer from Vancouver at the high end of the market thinks Toronto prices are cheap. he is building at up to $2,000 per sq.ft. I don't think Toronto is ready for that.
At the same time , the latest CMHC forecast of the Toronto Condo Market expects prices to rise by more than the 3.6% average this year for real estate.
And our own Company is forecasting over the long term that prices will more than double in ten years.

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  • The Perfect Market for that Less than Perfect Condo

    Never have I seen a market with such little market inventory - properties for sale. Many owners, myself included, have said 'If you don't need to sell, sit on it", the market is still rising. But, this is also the best time to unload what I call, 'less desirable properties' and put them up for sale. In a normal market, these properties are difficult to sell and they sell at a discount. However, in today's market, they will sell at full value and quickly. So what do I mean by less desirable properties? Sell that condo on the second floor ...

  • 2017 Toronto Real Estate Market Forecast

      Share of Total Condo Apartment Sales  By Bedroom Type (All Areas) Source: Toronto Real Estate Board Q3 Many forecasters or pundits get bogged down in irrelevant statistics. Past experience has shown that the view from ‘the street’ has been more accurate than the ‘view from the executive floor’. In real estate, lower sales do not automatically translate into lower prices. And the average price to average income ratio for valuing property prices over a number of years is also of little value when you consider the impact of immigrants, non-residents, and self- employed buyers in today’s market. If you ...

  • 3 Predictions for Toronto Real Estate in 2017

    With 2016 drawing to a close, everyone wants to talk about the Toronto market for 2017. So here are my preliminary thoughts; Lower Sales than in 2016 We predict lower sales than we've seen in 2016. Why? There is no product available and listings are way down. Secondly, the new mortgage rules will make it harder to qualify for everyone. For first-time Buyers, many will not even qualify at all, which will put a drag on the move-up market as well. Prices will not be falling No, prices will not be falling, but don't expect price increases of 20% for ...

  • The Trump Effect (On Toronto Real Estate)

    With the election of Donald Trump in the U.S. people are asking me about the Trump effect on Toronto Real Estate. First, don't expect any Americans to move here, that was just celebrity talk. Do expect more people to move here from other parts of the world. That's all thanks to the Donald, who has made the U.S. less hospitable to immigrants. The other impact from this election is a jump in interest rates. Bond rates, which impact Mortgage rates are 1% higher today than the market low in the summer. However, they are still below rates in 2014. The primary ...

  • The Problem with Dual Agency

    Dual Agency seems to be today's hot topic. Most people think it occurs when a Sales Person represents both Buyer and Seller. In realty it occurs when one or more different Sales People from the same Brokerage represent the Buyer and the Seller. When there are different Sales People from the same Brokerage involved, we should really rename this, Designated Agency. This is where RECO, The Real Estate Council of Ontario, should step in and introduce new rules to cover each case. The other problem is that a Sales Person acting in Dual Agency knows all of the offers submitted ...

  • Market Report November-December 2016

    Sales Commentary On one level, sale results for October suggest that this market will continue indefinitely. Overall, sales on the Toronto Real Estate Board were ahead by 11.5% compared to October of last year. But there are signs that these sale increases cannot continue. ‘Active’ listings are down by 34% from last year at this time, and ‘days on market’ has shrunk to just 16 – meaning that we are running out of saleable properties. In 2015, sales from September to October increased by 7.5% (which is normal). In 2016, sales from September to October declined by 1%. This slowing ...

  • Who Regulates Realtors®?

    Recently, the media has pointed the finger at unscrupulous Realtors® in terms of self-dealing and unethical behavior. They want change and they point the finger at self-regulation. RECO, The Real Estate Council of Ontario was established to enforce the real estate and business brokers act and to deal with consumer complaints. It was set up by the Ontario government supposedly to provide self-regulation. In reality the government just out-sourced the cost of regulation onto the shoulders of salespeople and brokerages. Today, 6 out of 9 directors are appointed by the Government. Realtors® elect only 3. All RECO employees ...

  • Toronto Market Report October-November 2016

    Sales Commentary September sales followed a similar pattern to previous months. Sales were 21% higher than in September of 2015. But of more significance was that sales of 9900 units were more typical of a June and July than of a fall market. At the same time, listings continued to be in short supply – down 36% from a year ago. The end result is a continuing upward pressure on prices of all types of housing. The condo market mirrored the stats of the overall market – sales ahead by 30% and active listings lower by 40% against September of ...

  • Implications of Canada's New Mortgage Rules

    On October 3rd, a firestorm hit the real estate market when the minister of finance announced two changes to mortgage rules. Last week we discussed what those mortgage rule changes where. This week we want to take a look at what the implications will be of the new mortgage rules, especially those of people having to qualify for the posted rate as opposed to the actual rate for their mortgage. Will Prices Fall? First off, with buyers having less money to purchase, will prices fall? The answer is no. In real estate, if the Sellers don't get their price ...

  • New Mortgage Rules

    On October 3rd, a firestorm hit the real estate market when the minister of finance announced two changes to mortgage rules. Closing the Loophole The first rule was to remove the principal residence exemption for non residents. But think about it, how can a non-resident have a principal residence in Canada, Impossible! But now we're closing that tax loophole and that will have little impact on the real estate market. 'Stress Test' on Insured Mortgages The Second change is more serious. Now, both high ratio and conventional mortgages insured under CMHC and two other companies must be qualified under ...